Some positive signs emerge in the US, Australia to follow

August 30th, 2010  by Cale McCulloch

Closing Data

  Current Change %
Dow Jones 10,150.65 164.84 1.7%
NASDAQ 2,153.63 34.94 1.6%
S P 500 1,064.59 17.37 1.7%
FTSE 100 5,201.56 45.72 0.9%
Nikkei 225 8,991.06 84.58 0.9%
ASX 200 4,370.10 14.1 0.3%
COMEX Gold - Dec 09 1237.9 0.2 0.0%
COMEX Silver - Sep 09 19.074 0.052 0.3%
COMEX Copper - Sep 09 336.3 5.85 1.8%
WTI Spot 75.34 1.98 2.7%
AUD-USD 0.8989 0.0122 1.4%
Aluminium 1,996.50 -19.5 -1.0%
Copper 7,287.00 220 3.1%
Lead 2,010.00 73 3.8%
Nickel 20,555.00 410 2.0%
Tin 21,400.00 1150 5.7%
Zinc 2,011.00 69 3.6%

US stock markets surged throughout the session on Friday night on the back of comforting comments from Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, who promised to do whatever it takes to support the economic recovery. He also said that the Fed had the necessary tools to avoid another recession. These comments, accompanied by a better than expected revision to second quarter economic growth was enough to see the Dow climb 200 points from its intraday low to high, closing the session out higher by some 165 points, while the S&P500 was higher by 17 points and the tech heavy NASDAQ higher by 35 points, all of which represents gains of about 1.65%.

In a sign that markets are starting to look for what could go right with the markets, investors looked for positives in a guidance cut from Intel, which rose some 1.1% for the session. Investors took the shares higher noting that it was not a surprise. The shift in sentiment towards data should help put a base under the market for now, and see us trade higher on short covering initially.

We saw some solid gains on the LME Friday night, with base metals rallying across the board, Copper was higher by 4.65%, Lead by 3.96%, Zinc by a little over 5%, Aluminum by some 1.45%, Nickel by 2.18%, while Tin surged a whopping 6.09% for the session. On top of this, Gold managed to hold on to recent gains, with Oil surging about USD 2 per barrel to close at 75.34 per barrel. This across-the-board strength will prompt buying in the resource sector domestically this morning, although the BHP trading in NY indicates an open just 17c higher than we closed on Friday night, this is also weighing on the SPI which closed the session higher by just 41 points despite the surge in US equity markets. 

Domestically we have a swag of economic data due out this week to help move the markets, with retail trade, building approvals, government finance, private sector credit and housing prices due out on Tuesday, while Wednesday brings the release of GDP data. London markets are closed tonight for the end of summer holiday. As I said earlier, the SPI has us opening higher by about 41 points but I would be looking for continued strength throughout the day, indicated by the strong open on the Australian Dollar this morning, trading higher by about 0.4% as of 9.00 AM AEST.

Contact your Freeman Fox Stockbroker on 07 3031 9960 or 1800 003 369 Ext 7.

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