A Great Day for Taking Profits

November 5th, 2008  by Lawrence Grasso

Closing Data

  current change %
Dow Jones 9625.28 305.45 3.3%
NASDAQ 1780.12 53.79 3.1%
S P 500 1005.75 39.45 4.1%
FTSE 100 4639.5 196.22 4.4%
Nikkei 225 9114.6 0 0.0%
SPI Futures 4345 134 3.2%
All Ords 4,169.80 -3.2 -0.1%
Oil 63.96 -4.14 -6.1%
Gold 726.8 8.6 1.2%
Silver 9.75 0.02 0.2%
Aluminium 1966 -4.5 -0.2%
Copper 3960 -35 -0.9%
Lead 1455 -14 -1.0%
Nickel 11355 50 0.4%
Tin 14000 140 1.0%
Zinc 1100.5 9.5 0.9%

U.S. stocks rose in an Election Day rally on Tuesday, as investors looked forward to the end of the uncertainty surrounding the long fight for the White House. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 305.45 points, or 3.28 percent, to end the session at 9,625.28.

In the past month, traders could have shown up on Wall Street at 3 p.m. and not have missed much. The last hour, even the last minutes, of trading seemed to be the only ones that mattered in October. But the days of one-hour markets may be waning, at least for now. Traders say the intensity of these extreme late-day swings of 443 points on average in the "witching hour" for the Dow Jones industrial average in October,  could let up as some of the so-called forced selling abates.

On a local front Australian shares are set to rise on Wednesday as a thaw in global credit markets continue and after Wall Street rose on relief that uncertainty over the U.S. presidential election will be over.

Rises in oil of $6.48 and gold of $30.5 should see a boost in resource stocks such as Woodside Petroleum Ltd (WPL), Oil Search (OSH), Newcrest Mining (NCM) and OZ minerals today. If you have holdings in these stocks it would be a great day to sell calls or take profits.  

Banks

On the banking front, Westpac (WBC) goes ex a 72 cent dividend today. ANZ goes ex a 74 cent dividend tomorrow. 

Yesterday's official interest rate cut of 0.75% by the Reserve Bank has caught economists out for the second consecutive month. Further rate cuts maybe be on the cards in the coming months and we could potentially see the official rate at 4% by end 1Q 09.

BHP & RIO

BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto Ltd will be in focus today after European regulators gave a statement of objections to BHP over its plan to buy Rio. BHP Billiton is continuing to work cooperatively with the European Commission and, in accordance with the established merger review process, will be responding in due course to the issues raised. In February BHP Billiton, the world's biggest miner, made a hostile, all-share offer for smaller rival Rio Tinto. The deal would create a global force in iron ore, metallurgical coal, aluminium, copper, uranium and other commodities. European steelmakers object to the merger, saying it would give the combined BHP-Rio a market share of almost 40% of the seaborne iron ore market. Rio Tinto and BHP are now the number two and number three iron ore producers after Brazil's Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, which has about one-third of the market for seaborne iron ore.

The government will release its mid-year economic outlook on Wednesday, with Treasurer Wayne Swan telling local radio that the global financial crisis will hit government revenue. 

Trade balance and building approvals data for September will be released at 11:30 am (0030 GMT). 

A GREAT DAY FOR TAKING PROFITS!

A note from Neil Gynther - Head of Broking

One of our advisers Zeyar Htut, has taken up an offer with AXA Asia Pacific in Hong Kong. We have fortunately had Lawrence Grasso (who wrote today's Market Fox) join us. Lawrence has extensive experience in the Equities and Options market and will be looking after all Zeyar’s clients, Lawrence will be calling you progressively but please do not hesitate to make contact with him (direct line (07) 3031 9912).

Cale McCulloch is on leave at the moment (back Tuesday 11th Nov). We have been calling his clients who have had calls expire as they can write new premium this month. If you are in this position and have not heard from us, please contact one of our brokers or myself.

Regards
Neil Gynther
Head of Broking

Contact your Freeman Fox Stockbroker on 07 3031 9960 or 1800 003 369 Ext 7.

< Return to Market Fox home

Disclaimer

The material in “Market Fox” (newsletter) is of a general nature only and neither purports nor is intended to be regarded as advice. No consideration has been given or will be given to your investment objectives, financial situation or needs. The decision to invest or trade and the method selected is a personal decision and involves an inherent level of risk. Not all risks can be or will be explained in the newsletter. Previous results are no indication of future results. Actual results achieved in the market can vary considerably. The Directors and Representatives of Freeman Fox Ltd and their associates may hold securities in the companies presented.

The research made available in this newsletter is for your private use only and it is protected by applicable copyright laws and other applicable intellectual property right laws. You may not reproduce, distribute, disseminate, broadcast, sell, publish, circulate or give for free, any of the materials made available to you in this newsletter without first seeking the prior written consent of Freeman Fox Ltd.

Freeman Fox Ltd is not required to update any of the content made available in this newsletter, including but not limited to any research commentary, forecasts, recommendations or other analysis in this newsletter. Therefore, for the avoidance of any doubt, material made available in this newsletter may not be accurate after the date of publication or the date on which it is displayed in the newsletter.

To the extent permitted by law, Freeman Fox Ltd and their respective directors, officers, employees, contractors and agents disclaim all responsibility to you for any loss, liability, claim, expense (including but not limited to legal costs and resultant defence or settlement costs) or damage whatsoever, whether direct, consequential, special, incidental, punitive or indirect (including but not limited to loss of profits, trading losses and damages that result from delay, loss or inconvenience) arising out of or in connection with the content of the newsletter and/or any omissions from the content whether in contract, tort (including negligence), statute or otherwise and even if Freeman Fox Ltd has been advised of the possibility of such damage or loss.

If you require assistance in relation to your personal investment situation, contact an authorised representative of Freeman Fox Ltd.