Dow Up On Successful Portuguese Bond Sale

May 13th, 2010  by Katy Loi

Closing Data

  Current Change %
Dow Jones 10,896.91 148.65 1.4%
NASDAQ 2,425.02 49.71 2.1%
S P 500 1,171.67 15.88 1.4%
FTSE 100 5,383.45 49.24 0.9%
Nikkei 225 10,394.03 -17.07 -0.2%
ASX 200 4,573.10 25.1 0.6%
COMEX Gold - Dec 09 1,243.10 22.8 1.9%
COMEX Silver - Sep 09 19.663 0.369 1.9%
COMEX Copper - Sep 09 318.8 -1.85 -0.6%
WTI Spot 0.8954 0.002 0.2%
AUD-USD 0.8954 -0.0075 -0.8%
Aluminium 2,100.50 72.5 3.6%
Copper 7,082.00 197 2.9%
Lead 2,026.00 50 2.5%
Nickel 22,805.00 730 3.3%
Tin 17,795.00 370 2.1%
Zinc 2,069.00 58 2.9%

The Dow finished up 148 points on the back of comforting news that the Portuguese bond sale was a success along with planned budget cuts in Spain and the U.K. This, along with the pledge of almost $1 trillion of emergency loans over the weekend has helped boost confidence that the European debt crisis is easing.   Earnings reports also boosted the Dow with Cisco reporting better-than-estimated results after the close of trading, while IBM forecast earnings-per-share may double by 2015. 

Gold rose to a record high of $1,249.20 an ounce on speculation international financial support for indebted European nations will depress currencies. Safe-haven buying, increased demand from general investors and bullish technical momentum drove prices into uncharted territory. The Gold price normally moves inversely to the USD, but recently the correlation has been positive as the USD has also rallied to multi-month highs. The fact that gold has become de-coupled from the U.S. dollar is another bullish clue for the precious yellow metal. This move should see further strength in our gold stocks NCM and LGL. Crude oil fell overnight after a U.S. government report showed that inventories are higher for the 14th time in 15 weeks as refiners reduced processing rates.

Our market is pointing to open 60 points on the upside.  Data to watch out for today is unemployment for April with consensus to be unchanged. The index may initially test support at 4600 before potentially breaking resistance at 4680.  Over the next week, we can expect some reversion back to the 100 day moving average which is 4766, so another 130 points to add.  Australian resource stocks RIO, BHP and FMG have bounced strongly from its selloff last week, with more upside expected as these moves have tended to retrace around 50% from the last high, as it did in February.
In company news, CBA says unaudited cash earnings, the banks preferred measure of profitability, for the March quarter came to $1.5 billion. 

Asciano Group has signed a long-term contract with freight forwarding company Toll Holdings for the haulage of intermodal rail freight.  Asciano says the contract is expected to generate revenues of up to $1 billion over the next five years.
RIO has been given the green light by the state Environmental Protection Authority for the proposed expansion of its operations in the Pilbara. 

With a degree of uncertainty still in the air, considering June buy writes in gold stocks may be prudent with premiums being higher due to increased volatility in the market.

 

Contact your Freeman Fox Stockbroker on 07 3031 9960 or 1800 003 369 Ext 7.

< Return to Market Fox home

Disclaimer

The material in “Market Fox” (newsletter) is of a general nature only and neither purports nor is intended to be regarded as advice. No consideration has been given or will be given to your investment objectives, financial situation or needs. The decision to invest or trade and the method selected is a personal decision and involves an inherent level of risk. Not all risks can be or will be explained in the newsletter. Previous results are no indication of future results. Actual results achieved in the market can vary considerably. The Directors and Representatives of Freeman Fox Ltd and their associates may hold securities in the companies presented.

The research made available in this newsletter is for your private use only and it is protected by applicable copyright laws and other applicable intellectual property right laws. You may not reproduce, distribute, disseminate, broadcast, sell, publish, circulate or give for free, any of the materials made available to you in this newsletter without first seeking the prior written consent of Freeman Fox Ltd.

Freeman Fox Ltd is not required to update any of the content made available in this newsletter, including but not limited to any research commentary, forecasts, recommendations or other analysis in this newsletter. Therefore, for the avoidance of any doubt, material made available in this newsletter may not be accurate after the date of publication or the date on which it is displayed in the newsletter.

To the extent permitted by law, Freeman Fox Ltd and their respective directors, officers, employees, contractors and agents disclaim all responsibility to you for any loss, liability, claim, expense (including but not limited to legal costs and resultant defence or settlement costs) or damage whatsoever, whether direct, consequential, special, incidental, punitive or indirect (including but not limited to loss of profits, trading losses and damages that result from delay, loss or inconvenience) arising out of or in connection with the content of the newsletter and/or any omissions from the content whether in contract, tort (including negligence), statute or otherwise and even if Freeman Fox Ltd has been advised of the possibility of such damage or loss.

If you require assistance in relation to your personal investment situation, contact an authorised representative of Freeman Fox Ltd.