Dow down on downbeat FOMC assessment of US economy

August 12th, 2010  by Katy Loi

Closing Data

  Current Change %
Dow Jones 10,378.83 -265.42 -2.5%
NASDAQ 2,208.63 -68.54 -3.0%
S P 500 1,089.47 -31.59 -2.8%
FTSE 100 5,245.21 -131.2 -2.4%
Nikkei 225 9,292.85 -258.2 -2.7%
ASX 200 4,455.50 -85.2 -1.9%
COMEX Gold - Dec 09 1199.2 1.2 0.1%
COMEX Silver - Sep 09 17.902 -0.256 -1.4%
COMEX Copper - Sep 09 325.4 -5.85 -1.8%
WTI Spot 78.02 -2.23 -2.8%
AUD-USD 0.8964 -0.0006 -0.1%
Aluminium 2,151.00 6 0.3%
Copper 7,204.00 -21 -0.3%
Lead 2,047.00 -53.5 -2.5%
Nickel 21,775.00 -280 -1.3%
Tin 20,345.00 -260 -1.3%
Zinc 2,023.00 -36.5 -1.8%

The Dow closed down 265 points, the largest move in three weeks as equities retreated across the globe.  Tuesday afternoon the U.S. Federal Reserves FOMC reported the U.S. economy is growing more slowly than the Fed had expected. That news and fresh economic data from China this week, which suggests the Chinese economy is slowing, cast bearishness over the world stock markets Wednesday. Investor risk appetite is again shrinking, which has so far been more bullish for the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury securities than for gold. China announced that industrial output rose the least in 11 months.  Joblessness will be slow to fall, signaling it will take years for the economy to recover the 8 million jobs lost during the recession. Survey results show that unemployment will average 9.6 percent in 2010 and 9.1 percent next year.

 
The Volatility Index was up 14 % closing at 25.39 and is likely to continue to rise as historically, the highest volatility months of the year are September and October.  Also adding to the sell off was disappointing earnings results from Cisco Systems Inc., the largest maker of networking equipment, which closed down 7.9 %.  The price of gold closed only modestly higher as some safe-haven buying interest has resurfaced.  However, a strong rebound in the U.S. dollar index Wednesday kept a lid on golds upside potential. Gold market prices continue to trade not far from the technically and psychologically important $1,200.00-an-ounce level. Crude oil futures prices were sharply lower Wednesday, which also limited buying interest in the precious metals.


Futures markets indicate our index will open down around 100 points with our market falling for the third consecutive session.  We had failed to break the June 21 high and should the market sell off continue, support may be found at 4360 followed by 4200 which is the low tested in both late May and early July. Data to watch out for today around midday is the Australian unemployment rate which is expected to be unchanged at 5.1% and also consumer inflation expectation for August. Also to look out for, earnings reports out today are for Aquarius Platinum, Coca Cola Amatil, Qantas, Telsta, and James Hardie. 

 

Contact your Freeman Fox Stockbroker on 07 3031 9960 or 1800 003 369 Ext 7.

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